Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Physical Intervention Courses

Bullying is no longer just something that happens at school, more and more stories emerge on a daily basis of domestic abuse at home and stress related illnesses that can be traced back to bullying in the work place.




Our courses in breakaway and restraint are suitable for a range of settings including adult social care, child social care and any public facing role. The techniques we teach meet the SIA standerd and have been medically risk assessed by the Institute of Conflict Management.

Contact us to discuss any of the courses detailed below or your need for bespoke training for your workplace.

More Information 0115 9866 000 or email training@magpie-security.co.uk

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

SECURITY PRACTITIONER

Nottinghamshire Company offers the Complete Training Package



The Security Industry Authority (SIA) requires you to hold a valid security license when working in the private security industry. Magpie Security Ltd can offer the complete package in security training including the: Level 2 Award for Working as a Door Supervisor within the Private Security Industry.

Although the title clearly states ‘Door Supervisor’ it can be a little bit misleading, it does not mean you have to stand on a Licensed Premises.

This qualification offers much more, that very same license can open up opportunities in many other security related roles for both male and females aged 18 and over.

“Just finished my S.I.A course with Magpie Security Ltd, I’ve been on a lot of courses but this one was such a positive experience I learned far more than I ever imagined. The tutor is such a great guy a very experienced man within the private security industry, I would 100% recommend Magpie to do your training. There's not just S.I.A courses they offer Health & safety, first Aid including Team Building and Personal Awareness. I've just paid £190 for a lot of knowledge and a great experience including self-defence which was included in the course. Absolutely great experience and great course and great tutor thanks again magpie security” Nicky Wood.
PS just booked my CCTV Training course.


If you are over the age of 18 and considering a career in the private security industry or looking to be re-trained after a recent redundancy can now get qualified by completing the required security practitioner training course.

Successful graduates can offer their employers the complete package ready to work in much more than just door supervision.
We work with the Security Industry Authority to raise standards of professionism of professionalism and to make security a career destination of choice.

We provide access to security training and security qualifications, for people wanting to be employed in private security roles such as Concierge, Construction Sites, Event Steward, Door Supervisor, Dog Handler, Mobile Response, Railway Industry to name but a few.


SECURITY PRACTITIONER > SECURITY GRADUTE > SECURITY EXPERT


The Security Industry is not only a "secure" career choice, but this job market is thriving in today's economy!

“Increasing business investment, new build housing construction, and rising crime rates are all leading to market growth. The largest industry sector CCTV will continue to drive market growth as take-up of IP systems gathers pace. Access control is benefiting from demand for innovative multi-functional biometric devices, with manufacturers investing in new technology and strategic partnerships to compete with companies in the technology sector. Demand for alarms is, however, slowing from 2015 as customers demand more integrated and interconnected devices.”
“While London continues to generate the greatest demand for serviced offices, the Midlands and north are key growth areas to watch. Both these regions are benefiting from strong business start-up rates, increased investment, and government policy emphasis. Serviced office providers that are looking to expand will find positive development opportunities in the Midlands and northern regions.” Source Mintel.

There’s demand for trained security personnel in every populated area within the UK, in fact there has never been a better time to consider a career in the security sector.





















GET STARTED > GET TRAINED > GET QUALIFIED > GET EMPLOYED

Wednesday, January 11, 2017

NEW YEAR NEW CAREER.

THE TIME IS RIGHT TO CONSIDER A CAREER IN SECURITY.



With thousands of career choices available how do you know what career path is best for you. If you are keen on safety and security, then read on because this could be a perfect career choice for you. A career in security is a highly responsible position where you are required to keep any premises and people safe and secure.

Some enjoy a career in security as there are various challenges faced every day, others may choose this career as they can achieve a sense of duty and responsibility.

There’s always a demand for security in every populated area in the country, from event security to bodyguard jobs. If you are considering beginning your career in security, read on to find out more about the role and if it matches your expectations and career aspirations.


How Do I Get a Job in Security?

Like any career, the first thing you need to do before applying for a job is to get the appropriate training and licenses. In many places, it is illegal for you to do security work without meeting a set list of requirements, this being certification, security checks and medical checks to ensure you are of a good physical fitness for what can sometimes be a physical job.



In order to work in the security industry, you are required to be:

· Honest, mature and responsible with a positive attitude to work
· Polite and helpful
· A reasonable level of physical fitness
· A good level of written communication skills to write reports
· The confidence to challenge people when necessary
· The ability to remain calm and controlled in stressful situations
· Use your initiative and be able to make quick decisions
· SIA Licenced

If you can say yes to the first 7 headings we can help you achieve the last requirement on the list. In fact, we almost guarantee that if you can without any doubt say yes to the first 7 requirements you will already have most of skills it takes to obtain your security licence.

Under the Private Security Industry Authority Act 2001, all individuals wishing to work in the private security industry must undertake a recognised qualification before applying for a licence. We can help you obtain the licence you need to get you started.

“We are the Security Training Specialist”



The courses offered focus on different domains within the security sector and will give delegates the necessary understanding to work in a variety of different scenarios.

The approved Home Office / SIA training we deliver addresses the different techniques used in day-to-day experiences of those working in security positions.

“We understand that examinations can be a little daunting but don't worry. “Our security training specialist makes the course entertaining and easy to understand, and above all takes pride in his high percentage pass rate. So, if you are looking for a new career in the early part of this new year we have a variety of security jobs available in the East Midlands.” – Magpie Security Ltd


For further information on our Training Courses and to Pre-Register, simply click on the link below:http://magpie-security.co.uk/training.php


Thursday, December 29, 2016

LEVEL 2 AWARD IN DOOR SUPERVISION







I recently attended this course conducted by Security Training Specialist Jim Loach from Magpie Security in Nottingham UK.


The job today is a world away from my time as a bouncer/doorman, I started off in 1979 at the Eight Bells in Church Street. In those days there was no training, no licence, no cctv, and people had no clue what rights they had or did not have have.

Today's Door Supervisor has to wear many different hats. (as a figure of speech) as can be seen below in the course content.



Common Security Industry Knowledge

Session 1: Awareness of the Law in the Private Security Industry
Session 2: Health and Safety for the Private Security Operative
Session 3: Fire Safety Awareness
Session 4: Emergency Procedures
Session 5: The Private Security Industry
Session 6: Communication Skills and Customer Care
Door Supervisor Specialist Module

Session 1: Behavioural Standards
Session 2: Civil and Criminal Law
Session 3: Searching
Session 4: Arrest
Session 5: Drugs Awareness
Session 6: Recording Incidents and Crime Preservation
Session 7: Licensing Law
Session 8: Emergency Procedures
Session 9: Dealing with Vulnerable Individuals
Session 10: Dealing with Queues and Crowds
Conflict Management Module

Session 1: Avoiding Conflict and Reducing Personal Risk
Session 2: Defusing Conflict
Session 3: Resolving and Learning from Conflict
Session 4b: Application of Communication Skills and Conflict Management for Door Supervisors
Physical Intervention Skills Module

Session 1: Introduction to Physical Skills
Session 2: Disengagement Techniques
Session 3: Escorting Techniques

The course was a real eye opener and I would recommend anyone thinking of a professional career in the security business (not just door supervision) to book early for 2017

I think I am at the age in life were very few things exceed my expectations, but this was one of them. Thank you to all those who made it possible.



Magpie Security Ltd offers the following training courses:
Level 3 Certificate in Close Protection, 17 Days
A QCF Level 2 Award in Door Supervision, 5 Days
Door Supervision, Up-Skilling, 2 Days
A QCF Level 2 in CCTV (Public Space Surveillance) Operations, 4 days
Physical Intervention, 1 and 3 Days
Conflict Management, 1 and 2 Days
Level 1 Award for Health & Safety in Construction.

MORE INFORMATION LINK http://www.magpie-security.co.uk/training.php




Friday, December 2, 2016

Personal Protection

I recently conducted a personal protection seminar to a very select group of people from the International Baccalaureate in The Hague.

When people think of the words 'Personal Protection' they often think of Bodyguards, Pepper Spray, Personal Alarms or carrying some sort of Stun Gun. Well there is actually a lot that you can do before any of that. Personal Protection is about being your own bodyguard, and it all starts with AWARENESS.

Be aware of your own surroundings, be aware of you own environment, and be aware of your own personal space and comfort zone. After all you would not cross a road without being aware of what traffic is around you. We learned about Personal Protection from a very early age. I guess the old green cross code of looking and listening while crossing the road to school was one of the first forms of Personal Protection that we learned.

However since the introduction of the mobile/cell phone our awareness of our surroundings and environment have been narrowed into paying attention to the phone rather than your personal space and that makes it very easy for a predator to get closer to you in today's world.

That's why we have to get better at other skills in our Personal Protection toolbox. Skills like being able to avoid, escape and in some cases being able to deliver a firm physical response are a must have skill. It is much better to have something and not use it, that to need something that you don't have.

Personal Protection is not a beginner to black belt programme that takes several years to learn, but on the other hand it is not a crash course programme either. Think of other lessons in life, how many swimming lessons would it take to learn to swim? Just a couple of widths were not aiming for the 2020 Olympics or anything. Or how many piano lessons would it take to play something that everyone would instantly recognize? or say how many driving lessons would you need to safely drive a vehicle? Everyone is different but I would say if you have ten lessons in either of the above you would have a very good grasp on each skill.

Personal Protection is very much the same.


Above are a few pictures from from the recent IB Personnel Protection Seminar. Big Thank You to those who made it all possible.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

The Final Classic

The Ladbrokes St Leger is the final classic of the flat season at Doncaster racecourse.

This year nine horses will contest the 1 mile, 6 furlongs contest which is sure going to test the stamina of every horse as the forecast over townmoor looks like being very wet and very damp come the 3:45 scheduled race time.




It is worth taking note that only three favourites the last ten years have gone on to win this race.

PAST WINNERS

2015: Simple Verse
2014: Kingston Hill
2013: Leading Light
2012: Encke
2011: Masked Marvel
2010: Arctic Cosmos
2009: Mastery
2008: Conduit
2007: Lucarno
2006: Sixties Icon

This year we have a hot favourite in 'IDAHO' from Ireland, but at 8/11 I will look further down the field for a bit of value (something has to finish 2nd and 3rd).

Idaho may well win, but he does not have proven form at this 1m 6f distance, and if I am right about the weather forecast the ground will turn soft, and he also does not have proven form on soft going.

Pedigree wise, he is not exactly a snug fit for very testing conditions.

Of the other horses in the big race only Harbour Law and Sword Fighter have proven form at the distance, but neither have ran on soft ground before which makes them a bit of an unknown factor.

Ventura Storm has won two races from three on soft ground, but never won at the distance.

The more rain that fails the more the puzzle will become harder to solve, and only the race winner gets to keep his head dry under the cap.




DONCASTER SELECTIONS: (with rain in mind)

2:00 - THUNDER SNOW
2:35 - HARRY HURRICANE
3:10 - BRETON ROCK
3:45 - HARBOUR LAW / SWORD FIGHTER / VENTURA STORM
4:20 - MATHS PRIZE / OCEANUS
4:55 - THIRD TIME LUCKY
5:25 - RENFREW STREET
6:00 - FELIX MENDELSSOHN

You can watch how it all unfolds, live on MORE4 from 1:45pm






Friday, June 3, 2016

The Epsom June Meeting ... That used to be in May.

In 1778, Lord Derby, invited a party of friends to his house, including General John Burgoyne, Richard Sheridan the playwright and Charles Fox, Burgoyne, suggested to Lord Derby, that since the four-day race programme consisted solely of heats of either two or four miles, that the following year, a single race over one and a half miles for three-year-old fillies, would add some spice to the meeting.

The race, named after Lord Derby’s country house in Woodmansterne, was first run on Friday, 14 May, 1779. Open to three-year-old fillies, (8st 4lb), at 50 guineas each and run over a mile and a half, there were 12 runners and appropriately, it was won by Lord Derby’s Bridget, the 5-2 favourite.

With now the inaugural races of the Oaks and Derby run, who could have predicted they would provide an uninterrupted line of winners, extending over more than two and a quarter centuries – the only two races in the world to do so.

THE OAKS – Epsom 3rd June

The official going at Epsom is now good to soft, soft in places (from soft, good to soft in places) following a dry and breezy day.

Investec Oaks Trends

1 15/15 ran within past 35 days
2 15/15 ran in a listed race or better last time out
3 15/15 had 1, 2 or 3 previous victories
4 14/15 had 1 or 2 starts in current season
5 13/15 finished in the top 3 on their racecourse debut
6 13/15 ran at a Grade 1 track last time out
7 13/15 were born before 30th April
8 12/15 were yet to finish outside of the top 6 so far in their career
9 12/15 finished in the top 2 last time out
10 12/15 had at least won at listed level or better OR had finished in the top 2 of a
Grade 1 race
11 12/15 had between 2 & 6 previous runs
12 12/15 made their debut at a Grade 1 track

ONLY ONE HORSE TICKS ALL TWELVE BOXES.




SKIFFLE (GODOLPHIN)

Skiffle was supplemented to the field for the mile-and-a-half Group One contest at a cost of £30,000 on Tuesday morning, and it's easy to see why after her impressive win in the listed Height of Fashion Stakes at Goodwood 2 weeks ago.

She has a bit to find on Timeform figures but she is progressive, and she's taken to upset the red-hot favourite Minding who is running in her third Classic in just over a month, and her stamina is not guaranteed over this trip.

Timeform Top Rated:
5. MINDING - 135
7. SKIFFLE - 122P
9. TURRET ROCKS - 122
4. HARLEQUEEN - 121
1. ARCHITECTURE - 119P
6. SEVENTH HEAVEN 119P
8. SOMEHOW - 117P
2. AUSTRALIAN QUEEN - 112
3. DIAMONDS POUR MOI - 109

Forecast Prices: Minding 10/11, Skiffle 6/1, Turret Rocks 7/1, Somehow 8/1, Architecture 8/1, Seventh Heaven 14/1, Harlequeen 20/1, Diamonds Pour Moi 25/1, Australian Queen 66/1





Friday, April 29, 2016

Welcome to the 'Classic' Weekend.

I am really looking forward to the better weather, better race conditions and all round better horses running over the summer months, for me the QIPCO 2000 Guineas is the start of it all on the Rowley Mile at Newmarket, and it is of course the first Classic race of the season.



The 2000 Guineas is a Group 1 classic and it is run over a straight 1 mile course and is open to entire colts (geldings are ineligible) and fillies, although it is unusual for the fairer sex to participate, as they normally contest the QIPCO 1000 Guineas on the following day.


This fella, AIR FORCE BLUE (pictured below) is all the rage, and has been since the end of last season. And quiet rightly so, as not many 2YOs produce a speed figure of 111 on a group 1 track.




There is no such thing as a certainty in racing, but if the ground stays good this son of War Front is close enough.

If we look at the top 5 in the betting forecast we have Air Force Blue at 4/6, Stormy Antarctic at 9/1, Massaat at 12/1, Galileo Gold at 14/1 and Marcel at 14/1.

Now when you see there best speed rating as a 2YO you get this picture
Air Force Blue - 111
Massaat - 101
Galileo Gold - 83
Marcel - 91
Stormy Antarctic - 88

For a shock here you are looking for a real downpour of rain and Air Force Blue to run not just below is average but well below his average (his first time on a race course he recorded a 97 on the clock.

My conclusion has not taken me long. With a TIMEFORM rating of 124 an Official Rating of 124 and a best Racing Post Rating of 125, AIR FORCE BLUE is well up to winning the QIPCO 2000 Guineas and is a worthy favourite for the race, if the ran came he has to prove his stamina over the trip, but his 2YO CV is a very impressive one and he proved himself to be the best 2yo Colt in Europe last year, having won 4 of his 5 starts during his juvenile season, including 3 Group 1 contests. After winning a 6 furlong Maiden at the Curragh in May, he suffered his only defeat when second (beaten 2 lengths) to Buratino in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes over 6 furlongs at Royal Ascot. Thereafter he strung together 3 impressive victories in Group 1 races, namely the Phoenix Stakes (6 furlongs) and National Stakes (7 Furlongs) which are both run at the Curragh, before beating Massaat by 3 1/4 lengths in the 7 Furlong Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket in October. I hope he has trained on, I really do. my only niggle is his sire War Front who has not produced a classic 3YO, his off springs show plenty at aged two, and not much after that.

The best price I can find quoted right now is 4/6, very short price for a classic, I will just sit and watch and enjoy this one without a financial interest.



Moving on to the second Classic race of the season, the QIPCO 1000 Guineas on Sunday, 1 May 2016 on the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket, this is also run over a straight 1 mile course and is open 3 year old fillies only.

The market for the classic races don't usually get it wrong, and the current market looks to have been priced up on forecasted good to soft ground. At the top of the market we have Minding @ 6/4, Lumiere @ 4/1, Ballydoyle @ 13/2, Nathra @ 8/1 and Alice Springs @ 14/1.

Now my thought process has always been along the lines of if you want to predict what a horse will do in the future start by looking at what it has done in the past, and having said that as a 2YO Ballydoyle top speed figure recorded on a group 1 track reads 102, Minding reads 98. and the other three recorded 91.

It will be interesting to see who Ryan Moore chooses in the next 48 hours but for now 13/2 on Ballydoyle (pictured below) looks a great bet and I will have a financial interest in this one.





On the subject of the Classics, I would like to share a proven profitable racing system with you known as the 'Classic Favourite'

It's called Classic Favourite, because those two words tell you everything you really need to know about the system and how to operate it. There is no study and calculations the consider because you simply back the favourite in this seasons five Classic races, 2,000 Guineas, 1,000 Guineas, The Oaks, The Derby and St Leger with an increasing stake of 5,10,15,20 and 25 points, and stopping at a winner. If your "point" is (I am going to keep this really simply) £1, that would mean stakes of £5 on the favourite in the 2,000 Guineas. If the favourite lost, your bet would be £10 in the 1,000 Guineas, if that lost you would place £15 in the Oaks and so on, giving a maximum outlay of 75 points (£75) over the course of a year as a worst case scenario. (once you win you take the profit and start the cycle again in the next classic race with investing 5 points)

Admittedly with so few selections it is not going to make you rich quick, however a point can be anything that you are comfortable with, some people who have been in the game along time bet £50 as a point. It's your money and your call.

I can tell you that over the last 10 years this system has made a profit in 9 of them, but overall it has made 47% profit and 88% Return on Investment. Your bank won't give you that.

Hope you have a 'Classic' Winning Weekend.



Saturday, April 9, 2016

Grand National, Aintree

Saturday, April 9th 2016 @ 5:15: Crabbie's Grand National, Aintree.



Woo Hoo It's Aintree Grand National Day.

I know many will be punting on the big race itself, but from a professional point of view it is not really a punters race. Of course some will get lucky, I think I did twice. This race has changed a lot in recent years (it had to) and I am not sure as to the value of looking much beyond the last 5 or 6 years on the trends or using a statistical analysis to try and find this years winner but we can try and narrow down the field of 40 runners into 4 or five contenders.

This years runners & riders:

1) 161-6221 MANY CLOUDS Age: 9 Weight 11-10
Oliver Sherwood | Leighton Aspell


2) 171-22P1 SILVINIACO CONTI Age: 10 Weight 11-8
Paul Nicholls | Noel Fehily


3) 30-8432P FIRST LIEUTENANT Age: 11 Weight 11-4
Mouse Morris (Ire) | David Mullins


4) 23783P-2 WONDERFUL CHARM Age: 8 Weight 11-3
Paul Nicholls | Sam Twiston-Davies


5) -1535PP7 BALLYNAGOUR Age: 10 Weight 11-2
David Pipe | Tom Scudamore


6) 15/P1P87 O'FAOLAINS BOY Age: 9 Weight 11-1
Rebecca Curtis | Brian Hughes


7) 321-3455 GILGAMBOA Age: 8 Weight 11-1
Enda Bolger (IRE) | Robbie Power


8) 797U4828 ON HIS OWN Age: 12 Weight 11-1
Willie Mullins (IRE) | Patrick Mullins


9) 751F-662 THE DRUIDS NEPHEW Age: 9 Weight 11-0
Neil Mulholland | Denis O'Regan


10) 0P/P3-15 TRIOLO D'ALENE Age: 9 Weight 11-0
Nicky Henderson | Jeremiah McGrath


11) 10P-2P40 ROCKY CREEK Age: 10 Weight 10-13
Paul Nicholls | Andrew Thornton


12) 21F4/157 SIR DES CHAMPS Age: 10 Weight 10-13
Willie Mullins (IRE) | Nina Carberry


13) 143-54P4 HOLYWELL Age: 9 Weight 10-12
Jonjo O'Neill | Richie McLernon


14) 61/15-3P SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR Age: 9 Weight 10-11
Jonjo O'Neill | Barry Geraghty


15) 119-0413 SOLL Age: 11 Weight 10-11
David Pipe | Conor O'Farrell


16) 145-3243 BUYWISE Age: 9 Weight 10-10
Evan Williams | Paul Moloney


17) 440-50P1 BOSTON BOB Age: 11 Weight 10-10
Willie Mullins (IRE) | Paul Townend


18) 4-411209 AACHEN Age: 12 Weight 10-10
Venetia Williams | Henry Brooke


19) 123/3-224 MORNING ASSEMBLY Age: 9 Weight 10-9
Pat Fahy (IRE) | Davy Russell


20) 60-24599 DOUBLE ROSS Age: 10 Weight 10-9
Nigel Twiston-Davies | Ryan Hatch


21) 312-3942 GOONYELLA Age: 9 Weight 10-8
Jim Dreaper (IRE) | Johnny Burke


22) 9/1P-623 UCELLO CONTI Age: 8 Weight 10-8
Gordon Elliott (IRE) | Daryl Jacob


23) F8-80312 UNIONISTE Age: 8 Weight 10-8
Paul Nicholls | Nick Scholfield


24) 3-P02615 LE REVE Age: 8 Weight 10-8
Lucy Wadham | Harry Skelton


25) 243-1U75 GALLANT OSCAR Age: 10 Weight 10-8
Tony Martin (IRE) | Mark Walsh


26) 211-1225 ONENIGHTINVIENNA Age: 7 Weight 10-8
Philip Hobbs | Tom O'Brien


27) 1U12-311 THE LAST SAMURI Age: 8 Weight 10-8
Kim Bailey | David Bass


28) 30/72-15 KRUZHLININ Age: 9 Weight 10-7
Philip Hobbs | Richard Johnson


29) -6S32254 RULE THE WORLD Age: 9 Weight 10-7
Mouse Morris (IRE) | Bryan Cooper


30) 2031-092 JUST A PAR Age: 9 Weight 10-6
Paul Nicholls | Sean Bowen


31) 4430/P-P0 KATENKO Age: 10 Weight 10-6
Venetia Williams | Will Kennedy


32) 3F2-85P6 VICS CANVAS Age: 13 Weight 10-6
Dermot Anthony McLaughlin (IRE) | Robbie Dunne


33) 2157-0U6 BLACK THUNDER Age: 9 Weight 10-6
Paul Nicholls | Gavin Sheehan


34) 3PB-4935 BALLYCASEY Age: 9 Weight 10-6
Willie Mullins (IRE) | Katie Walsh


35) 101/6P-7 HADRIAN'S APPROACH Age: 9 Weight 10-6
Nicky Henderson | Nico de Boinville


36) 0-111U26 VIEUX LION ROUGE Age: 7 Weight 10-5
David Pipe | James Reveley


37) 30/45-15 PENDRA Age: 8 Weight 10-5
Charlie Longsdon | Aidan Coleman


38) 3312-671 SAINT ARE Age: 10 Weight 10-5
Tom George | Paddy Brennan


39) 1F7P8-46 HOME FARM Age: 9 Weight 10-4
Henry de Bromhead (IRE) | Andrew Lynch


40) 11-77F38 THE ROMFORD PELE Age: 9 Weight 10-4
Rebecca Curtis | Trevor Whelan

So the winner is in that above list somewhere, but where?




I like to start by looking at those runners who has been aimed at the race all season.

One way is to look for horses that have run over hurdles in the current year. The reason trainers run their Grand National hopes over hurdles is to protect their chase handicap mark. Horses have different handicap ratings for whether they are running over hurdles or chases. Should a horse run well in a chase early in the year then their handicap mark will be increased and this then makes their chances of winning the Grand National much much harder.

Its no surprise then that when you look back through the past winners of this race you find the 6 of the last 10 Grand National winners ran over hurdles in the season they won the Grand National, but I must point out last years winner did not.

Now that is one angle to consider, but it is not the only angle, you could look at some of the profiles of past winners and other horses who ran well, like I said before, it's not a punters race, it great for an office sweepstake and the lottery dreamers, it always amazes me that people who never bet on horse racing will choose to have a go in this race.

For me the two things any selection you make has to have proven ability on the distance of the race and the current going on the race course, if you ever hear a trainer being interviewed after there horse got beat you very really hear them say that there horse was not good enough, you almost always hear them say that there horse did not stay the trip (stamina) or there horse did not like the ground conditions.

So out of 40 runners mentioned I now have a short list of 39 ... no seriously.

ProBet_Racing Prediction: 1st The Last Samuri, 2nd Saint Are, 3rd Holywell, 4th Hadrians Approach, 5th Many Clouds, and for those betting with BetVictor who are paying out on 6th place ...... The Romford Pele.




Enjoy The Race






Monday, March 14, 2016

CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL 2016



The countdown to this years Cheltenham Festival is almost over, four fantastic days from Tuesday 15th to Friday 18th March. (28 Races)

RACE SCHEDULE

TUESDAY 15 MARCH

13:30 Sky Bet Supreme Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
14:10 Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase (Grade 1)
14:50 Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
15:30 Stan James Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (Grade 1)
16:10 OLBG Mares' Hurdle (Grade 1)
16:50 National Hunt Chase (Amateur Riders Novice Chase) (Listed Race)
17:30 Festival Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

WEDNESDAY 16 MARCH

13:30 Neptune Investment Management Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
14:10, RSA Chase (Grade 1)
14:50 Coral Cup (Handicap Hurdle) (Grade 3)
15:30 Betway Queen Mother Champion Chase (Grade 1)
16:10 Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase
16:50 Fred Winter Juvenile Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
17:30 Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1)

THURSDAY 17 MARCH

13:30 JLT Novices' Chase (Grade 1)
14:10 Pertemps Network Final (Listed Handicap Hurdle)
14:50 Ryanair Chase (Grade 1)
15:30 Ryanair World Hurdle (Grade 1)
16:10 Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate (Handicap Chase) (Grade 3)
16:50 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase (Amateur Riders)
17:30 Trull House Stud Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2)

FRIDAY 18 MARCH

13:30 JCB Triumph Hurdle (Grade 1)
14:10 Vincent O'Brien County Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3)
14:50 Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle (Grade 1)
15:30 Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1)
16:10 St. James's Place Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
16:50 Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle
17:30 Johnny Henderson Grand Annual Handicap Chase (Grade 3)



It's easy to get carried away with the razzmatazz of any sporting event, but one that has bookmakers falling over each other for your business has to a viewed with a fair amount of caution.

People who talk about bookie bashing make me laugh, the bookmakers this year are already well in front after it was announced that the star attraction FAUGHEEN was out of the festival with injury.

All those 40/1 five timers, Doubles, Trebles, Yankies, Lucky 15s and any other monster accumulator you can imagine on Faugheen with Douvan, Annie Powers, Min and Un De Sceaux that had all been backed with good money is now long gone and it's the punter who is now on the recovery mission.

So what is your Cheltenham strategy, because you will need one. If your attending the meeting in person remember enjoyment is the number one aim in the game and when the fun stops STOP.

Always remember that there are many many easier races to win money on throughout the year, and a 7/1 winner at Sedgefield, Southwell or Wolverhampton pays out exactly the same amount of money as a 7/1 winner at the Cheltenham Festival.

So if your getting involved in any of the festival races you need a strategy because it is the ultimate test and very challenging to come away from the entire festival out in front.




Punters have many ways of finding winners, the form book is a great starting place and for those in the know the phone book is another, some people follow tipsters, trainers, jockeys, and some swear the horse has to have proven form over both course and distance for the race they are entered in, I could give you race stats and profiles that would give you a headache reading them. I have used a lot of them in the races that I have had a personal bet in (More about those later) however if your looking for a simple strategy that will give you an interest in the majority of the races over the four days you need to look beyond the horses, beyond the trainers and beyond the jockeys and you need to focus on the people that bank roll this whole business.

I am of course talking about the owners, Now there are several sorts of owners, Billionaires, Millionaires, Wealthy Families, Syndicates, Racing Clubs to name a few. Lets start with the big players in the game. Ricci Rich has 39 entries in this years festival, Giggerstown House Stud has 51 entries but topping them all is J P McManus who has 75 horses entered. Those three owners have just a little over 20% of the total horses running at this festival, you could pick anyone of those three and just follow there horses that they own, they will have winners every single day, that I can promise you.

But that is a lot of horses and a great deal of money to outlay, and to be perfectly honest I think it would be a toss of a coin weather you came out with an overall profit at the end.

I have been looking more at the quality of the horses owned rather than the quantity, and I am by no means saying that those owners don't have quality horses, in fact they have a quantity of quality horses, but how do you find those few winning ones that are not odds on.

I looked a little deeper into what other owners had entered this year and came up with a select list of owners that pin point the festival with a more lets say sniper approach rather that shotgun approach.




Just going back to the big players for a moment, Ricci Rich has had 54 runners here in the past of which 8 have won (15%), or put it another way 46 of the lost, Giggerstown House Stud has has had 9 winners from 92 runners (10%), again this could also be interpreted as 83 of those entered got beat, and finally J P McManus has had 34 winners out of a staggering 251 runners (14%). Again that can also be seen as 217 losers.

In fact only Giggerstown stud are showing a level stake profit, and I can tell you that profit won't even buy you your lunch. (Well not at Cheltenham)

So are there any owners out there with 100% record, well yes there is, but 1 win from just 1 run does not tell you very much, it may well be this horse they have running for them is not the same horse they they won with last time they were here, and maybe they just got lucky that day in a two horse race, you have to dig around a little in the form book to see the true chance on those ones, there are several that fit that profile in the very first race.

one win from only one race is a bit like a boxer having just one fight, winning it then retiring undefeated, sounds impressive.

And I guess you could say pretty much the same about those with 1 win from 2 runs, 50% strike rate.

For me there are three stand outs that look to be worth following.

Owner C B Brookes has a 67% strike rake with 2 wins from 3 runners, his only horse entered at the festival is called THE GOVANESS and runs in the 4:10 race on the first day of the festival.

Then with a 57% strike rate we have Drew, George and Johnson family who have there horse KINGS PALACE entered in 3 races and I feel the 2:50 race on Wednesday (CORAL CUP) looks like it is the horses intended target.

And finally step forward Dr.R Lambe, now he also has a 50% strike rate, but the closer look tells you he has had 5 winners from 10 of his runners. Look out for his horses SILVER CONCORD in the very first race of the festival were the jockey booking of Davy Russell catches the eye, the owner also has a horse called SPRING HEELED in the 2:50 race on the same day.

REMEMBER the strike rates of the owners and not the strike rate of those horses mentioned, but the point is the owner clearly knows where he wants his horse or horses to run and where.

I would be interested in following the progress of those horses mentioned and also not forgetting those big owners at the festival. Ricci Rich has the bookmakers running scared with his stable star DOUVAN who runs in the 2nd race on day one, Giggerstown House Stud have NO MORE HEROES leading there charge on Wednesday and J P McManus best chance looks to be with YANWORTH who also runs on Wednesday.

So that's a total of seven horses to play and the best bit is that I don't intend to use any of my own money playing them, and that's because I just got £200 free.

Now, how would you like a free £200 pounds to play with. Well remember at the start of this post I mentioned bookmakers were falling over each other for your business, well let me tell you there are some crazy offers out there right now but this has to be the best offer I have seen in a while from on line bookmaker BET365.




Basically they are offering to match whatever you deposit into your new account to the value of £200.

So if you open a new account and say you deposit £25 into it you will find your betting back has £50 in it, or say you open your new online account and deposit £40 into it you will find your opening balance will be £80.

And like I said they will match your initial deposit up to £200 giving you an opening balance of £400.

Of course there is the small print (Term & Conditions apply) which in a nut shell means you can't put £200 in your account tonight and withdraw £400 tomorrow and go down the pub with it, they are not going to let you do that.

Well, less than 24 hours until the start of the first race. Enjoy the Cheltenham Festival. And remember have a strategy and stick to it.

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Steve Drake @ProBet_Racing